What does the early development of Tropical Storm Arthur mean for the remainder of the hurricane season?

Tropical Storm Arthur developed near the coast of Belize on Saturday, May 31st and had dissipated over southeastern Mexico by Sunday night, June 1st.  Some may think that an early start to the season means we will have a very active hurricane season.  That is not necessarily the case.  In fact, there is no good correlation between an early season storm forming in that location and how much activity we have during the remainder of the season.

In 2007, both Subtropical Storm Andrea and Tropical Storm Barry had developed by June 1st, but the overall Atlantic hurricane season activity for entire year was certainly not considered above average.


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