A Matter of Time

Thankfully, there are no disturbances in the Atlantic Basin that look like they have potential for tropical cyclone development over the next couple of days.

One necessary (but not sufficient) condition for tropical cyclone development is water temperature of at least 79 degrees Fahrenheit (26 degrees Celsius).

Atlantic Basin Sea Surface Temperatures

The figure above shows 80 degree water in red already covering much of the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, and tropical Atlantic.  The tropical waves are coming off Africa every three to four days just like clockwork.  At the present time, the upper level conditions over much of the tropics are not conducive for tropical cyclone development (too much shear).  But it is just a matter of time before we start seeing some activity.  Remember that the active 2004 Atlantic hurricane season did not get the first named storm until August 1st of that year.

So let’s enjoy this weekend but also take a little time to make sure that our hurricane plans are ready to go for when the tropics do get active.


One thought on “A Matter of Time

  1. Yes, it is just a matter of time.

    I have been in south Florida since 1971 and remember thinking that very statement each year. Been through Andrew and Wilma. Have seen some of the other less intensive storms that have blown through our region.

    Whether a storm hits or not, you can never push enough the importance of being ready. I am so tired of hearing “They say that every year”. Well folks, I’m not a weather person in the media, but I am someone with some brains in my head. All it takes is ONE hurricane to hit us.

    You see each year what big rain storms do to us. Why wouldn’t you be prepared with at least, the very basics; Water, Batteries, canned goods. Didn’t use all your canned goods last year? Do what I do, donate them to a food bank. it’s a win-win situation.

    Nothing is more infuriating than hearing someone the day after a hurricane then people whining “I have no ice”, “I have no water”, “I have no food”. My question to you is WHY? You learn that in “Being a Floridian 101”

    Don’t wait till the last minute. Be pro-active instead of a statistic.

    It’s just a matter of time……….

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