Thankfully, there are no disturbances in the Atlantic Basin that look like they have potential for tropical cyclone development over the next couple of days.
One necessary (but not sufficient) condition for tropical cyclone development is water temperature of at least 79 degrees Fahrenheit (26 degrees Celsius).
The figure above shows 80 degree water in red already covering much of the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, and tropical Atlantic. The tropical waves are coming off Africa every three to four days just like clockwork. At the present time, the upper level conditions over much of the tropics are not conducive for tropical cyclone development (too much shear). But it is just a matter of time before we start seeing some activity. Remember that the active 2004 Atlantic hurricane season did not get the first named storm until August 1st of that year.
So let’s enjoy this weekend but also take a little time to make sure that our hurricane plans are ready to go for when the tropics do get active.