Lots of eyes are watching the tropical wave currently east of the Caribbean to see if it develops into the season’s first tropical storm. A quick search of the historical record going back to 1851 shows that only two tropical storms have formed in the deep tropics east of the Caribbean during the month of June. Clearly, it is an extremely rare event for this to happen.The last time this happened was in1979 when Tropical Storm Ana formed about 400 miles east of the Lesser Antilles . TS Ana was only a minimal tropical storm that moved westward and dissipated in the eastern Caribbean.
The other occurrence of a June tropical storm forming east of the Caribbean was in 1933 when an unnamed storm formed about 350 miles east-southeast of Trinidad . This system strengthened to hurricane status as it moved over Trinidad, the northeastern coast of Venezuela and western Cuba before moving into the Gulf of Mexico and making final landfall on the northeast coast of Mexico .
1979 ended up being an average year number wise, although Major Hurricanes David and Frederic caused loss of life and tremendous damage. 1933 was one of the most active hurricane seasons on record with 21 named storms and 10 hurricanes.
No one knows for sure if the tropical wave currently east of the Caribbean will develop significantly. But it is a reminder that we are indeed in the hurricane season. It would be wise to make sure you have a hurricane plan that can be executed in case we eventually have a threat at some point during the season.