The above graphic shows the formation points of 81 tropical (and subtropical) storms that have formed in the month of June since 1851. Preferred regions this early in the season include the western Caribbean, Gulf of Mexico and just off the southeast coast of the U.S. On average, we see a named storm form about every other year over the Atlantic Basin during the month of June. That is true for both the reconnaissance era (starting in 1944) and the satellite era (starting in 1966).
Some of the global computer models have been indicating development of low over the western Caribbean during the next few days. Upper-level conditions are not conducive for development at the moment but should become a little more favorable in a couple of days. If a tropical cyclone does develop in this area, steering currents are forecast to remain weak over the next few days and little movement is expected.